Birmingham Legion 0-1 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 May 2024

Birmingham Legion
0-1 HT 0-0
Charleston Battery
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 31% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham Legion v Charleston Battery — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.96/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.34
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
12.6 Crosses 16.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
15.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
30.07.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
10.07.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-3 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
28.04.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
20.07.2020 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-2 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP

Birmingham Legion 0-1 Charleston Battery — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
0-1
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.90 xG 0.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
329 Passes 412
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery nicked a narrow win over Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 47% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.17 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery?

Birmingham Legion 0-1 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 29%, draw 26%, Charleston Battery 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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