Fjölnir 1-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 62%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.35
+50% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fylkir
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 5-0 HT 2-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLRT
10.03.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 0-2 HT 0-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
26.07.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
19.05.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 5-2 HT 3-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
21.02.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-4 HT 0-3 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
25.08.2020 Fylkir Fylkir 2-0 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir and Fylkir couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fylkir at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fjölnir and 3.00 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Fylkir?

Fjölnir 1-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 24%, draw 20%, Fylkir 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fylkir), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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