Malut United 5-1 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malut United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +19%
1.02/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.43
-47% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malut United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.12.2024 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-3 HT 0-1 Malut United Malut United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Malut United vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malut United ran out comfortable winners over PSIS Semarang 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malut United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Malut United vs PSIS Semarang?

Malut United 5-1 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malut United vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malut United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Malut United 55%, draw 21%, PSIS Semarang 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malut United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malut United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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