Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.5pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.78/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.48
+25% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zalgiris II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 5-3 HT 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
26.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-3
AWAY Zalgiris II
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Zalgiris II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 46% of the ball to Zalgiris II's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zalgiris II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 4.00 for Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Zalgiris II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 33%, draw 29%, Zalgiris II 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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