Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Atletico Tembetary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tembetary EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.50
+27% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +128%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tembetary
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1-1
AWAY Atletico Tembetary
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Atletico Tembetary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta and Atletico Tembetary couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Recoleta at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 57% of the ball to Atletico Tembetary's 43%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Atletico Tembetary?

Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Atletico Tembetary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Atletico Tembetary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Recoleta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 45%, draw 24%, Atletico Tembetary 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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