Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karlbergs BK v Jarfalla — Team-Based Signals
Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Karlbergs BK
İSÇ4
0-1
HT 0-1
Jarfalla
İSÇ4
1-3
HT 0-1
Karlbergs BK
İSÇ4
6-1
HT 4-1
Jarfalla
İSÇ4
Karlbergs BK 1-3 Jarfalla — Actual Match Statistics
Jarfalla beat Karlbergs BK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karlbergs BK at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Karlbergs BK had 70% of the ball to Jarfalla's 30%, shots finished 26-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Karlbergs BK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Karlbergs BK and 1.00 for Jarfalla.
What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla?
Karlbergs BK 1-3 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 57%, draw 19%, Jarfalla 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlbergs BK) went the other way.