Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Karlbergs BK v Jarfalla — Team-Based Signals
Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Karlbergs BK 1-3 Jarfalla — Actual Match Statistics
Jarfalla beat Karlbergs BK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karlbergs BK at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) landed.
On the day, possession split 70% to 30% in Karlbergs BK's favour, shots finished 26-10.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Karlbergs BK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Karlbergs BK against 1.00 for Jarfalla.
Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla Result & Final Score
Karlbergs BK 1 - 3 Jarfalla in the Sweden - Ettan on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Karlbergs BK vs Jarfalla Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 60%, draw 20%, Jarfalla 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlbergs BK) went the other way.