UD Ourense 2-1 Reddis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 May 2026

UD Ourense
2-1 HT 1-1
Reddis
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

UD Ourense vs Reddis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Ourense v Reddis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Reddis EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.36/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.86
+19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

UD Ourense vs Reddis Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ourense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Reddis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.05.2026 Reddis Reddis 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Ourense UD Ourense İS4

UD Ourense 2-1 Reddis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ourense
2-1
AWAY Reddis
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Ourense vs Reddis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense edged past Reddis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; UD Ourense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Ourense had 41% of the ball to Reddis's 59%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of UD Ourense vs Reddis?

UD Ourense 2-1 Reddis in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ourense vs Reddis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reddis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UD Ourense 30%, draw 29%, Reddis 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reddis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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