Vicenza 1-4 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.07/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.95
-20% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Benevento
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
238 Passes 432
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2022 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
30.11.2021 Vicenza Vicenza 2-3 HT 0-1 Benevento Benevento İTB
21.04.2017 Benevento Benevento 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
26.11.2016 Vicenza Vicenza 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-4
AWAY Benevento
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento ran out comfortable winners over Vicenza 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vicenza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vicenza had 42% of the ball to Benevento's 58%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benevento led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vicenza and 1.00 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Benevento?

Vicenza 1-4 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 41%, draw 26%, Benevento 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
16 May 2026
21:30 Sassari Torres vs Bra Analysis →