UMF Tindastoll 2-1 Kormakur / Hvöt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

UMF Tindastoll
2-1 HT 1-0
Kormakur / Hvöt
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - 2nd Division – 2026

UMF Tindastoll vs Kormakur / Hvöt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UMF Tindastoll v Kormakur / Hvöt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kormakur / Hvöt EU Bookmakers 19%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.17/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.34
+24% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +99%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs Kormakur / Hvöt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll squeezed past Kormakur / Hvöt 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Kormakur / Hvöt?

UMF Tindastoll 2-1 Kormakur / Hvöt in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Kormakur / Hvöt?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 58%, draw 22%, Kormakur / Hvöt 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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