Smorgon 0-1 Energetik-BGU Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.87
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.87
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Smorgon The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Energetik-BGU Minsk The Market 46%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.58
0.92 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
Average Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Energetik-BGU Minsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2023 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk 2-4 HT 1-1 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
03.06.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 1-0 HT 1-0 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk BLR
17.07.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 2-2 HT 1-1 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk BLR
28.02.2019 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon HAZ
15.11.2014 Smorgon Smorgon 2-3 HT 1-1 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk BRU1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
0 - 1
AWAY Energetik-BGU Minsk
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Smorgon vs Energetik-BGU Minsk
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Energetik-BGU Minsk shaded a tight game against Smorgon 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Energetik-BGU Minsk as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Smorgon had 56% of the ball to Energetik-BGU Minsk's 44%, shots finished 20-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Smorgon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Smorgon and 1.40 for Energetik-BGU Minsk.

Smorgon vs Energetik-BGU Minsk Result & Final Score

Smorgon 0 - 1 Energetik-BGU Minsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Smorgon vs Energetik-BGU Minsk Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Energetik-BGU Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 31%, draw 28%, Energetik-BGU Minsk 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Energetik-BGU Minsk), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Energetik-BGU Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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