Hassania Agadir 2-2 Mostakbal El Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
-2.9pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostakbal El Marsa EU Bookmakers 12%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hassania Agadir vs Mostakbal El Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassania Agadir and Mostakbal El Marsa shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Hassania Agadir carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Hassania Agadir vs Mostakbal El Marsa?

Hassania Agadir 2-2 Mostakbal El Marsa in the Morocco - Cup on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassania Agadir vs Mostakbal El Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hassania Agadir win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Hassania Agadir 68%, draw 18%, Mostakbal El Marsa 14%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hassania Agadir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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