Paris FC (K) 1-0 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.74
Over 2.5
56%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.1pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
54%
-9.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
46%
+9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.93/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.98
-63% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
10.6 Crosses 10.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC (K)
0W-4D-2L
AWAY PSG (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 Passes 357
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2026 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 0-3 HT 0-3 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
20.12.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
11.05.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
15.03.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
07.12.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
24.04.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC (K)
1-0
AWAY PSG (K)
0.54 xG 0.89
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
189 Passes 434
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris FC (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) squeezed past PSG (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was PSG (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC (K) had 35% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 65%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.54 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Paris FC (K) and 1.33 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Paris FC (K) vs PSG (K)?

Paris FC (K) 1-0 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paris FC (K) 36%, draw 23%, PSG (K) 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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FRK1 More France - Women's 1st Divisioni
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