Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.64
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2
7%
7.84
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
9%
5.8
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.35/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.0 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.75 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 372
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
23.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
12.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
17.08.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.57 xG 2.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 13
339 Passes 278
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 34
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Shanghai Shenhua at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 52% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 48%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.57 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 2.00 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 47%, draw 27%, Chengdu Qianbao 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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