Helsingborgs IF 1-0 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 16 Jun 2024

Helsingborgs IF
1-0 HT 1-0
Örebro
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Helsingborgs IF vs Örebro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.59
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.48
X/2
8%
7.94
X/X
9%
4.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.75
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helsingborgs IF v Örebro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
1.51/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.82
-7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Helsingborgs IF vs Örebro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Örebro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 409
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 4-1 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.05.2023 Örebro Örebro 1-1 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
25.10.2020 Örebro Örebro 3-2 HT 2-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
23.07.2020 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
29.07.2019 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-4 HT 1-3 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
28.06.2019 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ

Helsingborgs IF 1-0 Örebro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helsingborgs IF
1-0
AWAY Örebro
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF edged past Örebro 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Helsingborgs IF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helsingborgs IF had 39% of the ball to Örebro's 61%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 1.67 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Örebro?

Helsingborgs IF 1-0 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 51%, draw 23%, Örebro 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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