Vanersborgs IF 3-1 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 48%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.78/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.37
-50% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
22.09.2023 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ3
29.07.2023 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ3
15.06.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-4 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇK
03.10.2020 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 4-5 HT 4-2 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
3-1
AWAY Ahlafors IF
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF beat Ahlafors IF 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Vanersborgs IF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 39% of the ball to Ahlafors IF's 61%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 2.25 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors IF?

Vanersborgs IF 3-1 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 38%, draw 25%, Ahlafors IF 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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