A. Bilbao (K) 2-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Jun 2024

A. Bilbao (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Sevilla (K)
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
48%
-14.7pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

A. Bilbao (K) v Sevilla (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
2.06/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.14
+150% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -66%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
12.0 Crosses 15.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

A. Bilbao (K) 2-1 Sevilla (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
2-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.60 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
392 Passes 343
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) edged past Sevilla (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; A. Bilbao (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 53% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.60 to 0.65.

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 2-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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