Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

Atletico Tucuman
1-1 HT 1-1
Defensa y Justicia
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Tucuman vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
11%
4.01
X/2
15%
7.42
X/X
13%
4.0
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
8%
6.37
2/X
10%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Tucuman v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.27/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.37
-16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.9 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Atletico Tucuman vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.32 xG 2.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.02.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-0 HT 3-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
22.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
17.04.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
25.11.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-4 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
08.05.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 5-0 HT 2-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
02.02.2020 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
2.57 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
240 Passes 204
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
40 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman and Defensa y Justicia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Tucuman at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 51% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 49%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.57 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 2.00 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Defensa y Justicia?

Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 41%, draw 30%, Defensa y Justicia 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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