Shashemene Kenema 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shashemene Kenema EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 62%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shashemene Kenema
0-2
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shashemene Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance saw off Shashemene Kenema 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Shashemene Kenema had 38% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 62%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Shashemene Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Shashemene Kenema 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shashemene Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shashemene Kenema 21%, draw 30%, Ethiopian Insurance 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5
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