Daegu 1-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Jun 2024

Daegu
1-0 HT 1-0
Jeju United
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Daegu vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.21
6+ Goals
10%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 33% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.34
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.91
X/2
15%
6.17
X/X
18%
4.06
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.6
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Daegu v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
-17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.4 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Daegu vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
240 Passes 402
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
26.08.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
07.07.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
04.03.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
13.09.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 2-2 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
21.06.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Daegu 1-0 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-0
AWAY Jeju United
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
368 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Daegu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Daegu had 48% of the ball to Jeju United's 52%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Daegu and 0.83 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Jeju United?

Daegu 1-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Daegu 35%, draw 30%, Jeju United 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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