Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sofapaka v Gor Mahia — Team-Based Signals
Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Gor Mahia
KEN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Sofapaka
KEN2
Sofapaka 0-1 Gor Mahia — Actual Match Statistics
Gor Mahia edged past Sofapaka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sofapaka had 40% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 60%, shots finished 3-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sofapaka and 1.00 for Gor Mahia.
What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia?
Sofapaka 0-1 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 32%, draw 20%, Gor Mahia 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.