Al Mokawloon 3-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.91
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
17%
7.18
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.98
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.1 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY El Geish
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 0.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
193 Passes 299
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
22.05.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
08.01.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
21.05.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
04.11.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
04.07.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
3-1
AWAY El Geish
1.99 xG 1.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
230 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon saw off El Geish 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Mokawloon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 45% of the ball to El Geish's 55%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.99 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.83 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs El Geish?

Al Mokawloon 3-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 30%, draw 32%, El Geish 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Geish) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →