Abia Warriors 2-0 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.2pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.39/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.81
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +84%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Akwa United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.03.2022 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
27.05.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
09.01.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 2-1 HT 1-1 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abia Warriors
2-0
AWAY Akwa United
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors beat Akwa United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Abia Warriors as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Abia Warriors had 46% of the ball to Akwa United's 54%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Akwa United led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Abia Warriors and 0.67 for Akwa United.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Akwa United?

Abia Warriors 2-0 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 46%, draw 33%, Akwa United 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abia Warriors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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