Minneapolis City 0-1 Milwaukee Bavarians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minneapolis City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Milwaukee Bavarians EU Bookmakers 49%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minneapolis City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Milwaukee Bavarians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.07.2023 Milwaukee Bavarians Milwaukee Bavarians 1-1 HT 1-1 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
03.06.2023 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-0 HT 1-0 Milwaukee Bavarians Milwaukee Bavarians USL2
POST-MATCH Minneapolis City vs Milwaukee Bavarians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milwaukee Bavarians nicked a narrow win over Minneapolis City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Milwaukee Bavarians as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Minneapolis City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minneapolis City and 0.50 for Milwaukee Bavarians.

What was the final score of Minneapolis City vs Milwaukee Bavarians?

Minneapolis City 0-1 Milwaukee Bavarians in the USA - USL League 2 on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minneapolis City vs Milwaukee Bavarians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milwaukee Bavarians win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Minneapolis City 32%, draw 24%, Milwaukee Bavarians 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milwaukee Bavarians) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milwaukee Bavarians) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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