Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.84/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.30
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Binh Duong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
04.02.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
19.10.2022 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-1 HT 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
13.03.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-2 HT 1-2 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
20.03.2021 Binh Duong Binh Duong 0-1 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
12.04.2014 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 0-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
POST-MATCH Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xi Mang Hai Phong got the better of Binh Duong 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xi Mang Hai Phong as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Xi Mang Hai Phong and 1.33 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong?

Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xi Mang Hai Phong win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Xi Mang Hai Phong 48%, draw 27%, Binh Duong 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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