Criciuma vs Amazonas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Amazonas — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma 3-2 Amazonas — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma squeezed past Amazonas 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Criciuma had 68% of the ball to Amazonas's 32%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Criciuma's control.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Amazonas?
Criciuma 3-2 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Amazonas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 51%, draw 25%, Amazonas 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.