Fredrikstad II 1-4 Drobak / Frogn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 16 Jun 2025

📅16/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.24
No
36%
3.59
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
76%
-11.9pp
36%
BTTS No
24%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Drobak / Frogn EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad II
1-4
AWAY Drobak / Frogn
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad II vs Drobak / Frogn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drobak / Frogn ran out comfortable winners over Fredrikstad II 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Fredrikstad II had 40% of the ball to Drobak / Frogn's 60%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad II vs Drobak / Frogn?

Fredrikstad II 1-4 Drobak / Frogn in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad II vs Drobak / Frogn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad II 42%, draw 24%, Drobak / Frogn 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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