Santos 2-0 Ituano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 16 Jul 2024

Santos
2-0 HT 2-0
Ituano
📅16/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Santos vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-11.0pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.7pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Ituano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ituano EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.36/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.51
+27% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
24.7 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Santos vs Ituano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ituano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.10 xG 1.68
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
435 Passes 213
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2023 Ituano Ituano 3-0 HT 2-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
13.02.2022 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-0 Ituano Ituano BREPAU
14.03.2021 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 2-1 Ituano Ituano BREPAU
22.02.2020 Ituano Ituano 2-0 HT 2-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
04.02.2019 Ituano Ituano 5-1 HT 4-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
29.01.2018 Santos Santos 1-1 HT 0-1 Ituano Ituano BREPAU

Santos 2-0 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
2-0
AWAY Ituano
3.04 xG 0.31
67% Ball Possession 33%
25 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
482 Passes 214
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 5
30 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs Ituano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos got the better of Ituano 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Santos had 67% of the ball to Ituano's 33%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 3.04 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos and 2.17 for Ituano.

What was the final score of Santos vs Ituano?

Santos 2-0 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Ituano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Santos 65%, draw 19%, Ituano 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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