İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 3-1 Fransa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
53%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fransa (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.05 xG 2.02
26% Ball Possession 74%
1 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 9
110 Passes 426
59% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Box Touches 37
4 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
3-1
AWAY Fransa (K)
0.66 xG 1.12
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
117 Passes 379
52% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Fransa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) saw off Fransa (K) 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fransa (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) had 31% of the ball to Fransa (K)'s 69%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fransa (K).

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Fransa (K)?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 3-1 Fransa (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 23%, draw 24%, Fransa (K) 53%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fransa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAVŞE More European Women's Championship Qualifiers
16 Jul 2024
20:00 Ukrayna (K) vs Hırvatistan (K) Analysis →
20:00 Romanya (K) vs Ermenistan (K) Analysis →
20:00 İspanya (K) vs Belçika (K) Analysis →
20:00 Kuzey İrlanda (K) vs Bosna-Hersek U19 (K) Analysis →
20:00 Portekiz (K) vs Malta (K) Analysis →
20:00 Galler (K) vs Kosova (K) Analysis →