İspanya (K) 2-0 Belçika (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.11
Draw
23%
8.11
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.68
Over 2.5
55%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
85%
-21.7pp
23%
Draw
9%
+13.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
24%
+21.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
76%
-21.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
3.39/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/2.24
+19% / -72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -37%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
458 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
49.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
32.5 Crosses 21.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Belçika (K)
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.17 xG 0.07
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
700 Passes 217
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
50 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.04.2024 Belçika (K) Belçika (K) 0-7 HT 0-3 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) KAVŞE
17.01.2019 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Belçika (K) Belçika (K) HAZ
11.02.2015 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Belçika (K) Belçika (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya (K)
2-0
AWAY Belçika (K)
2.21 xG 0.16
77% Ball Possession 23%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
756 Passes 169
91% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 3
30 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH İspanya (K) vs Belçika (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) saw off Belçika (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İspanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İspanya (K) had 77% of the ball to Belçika (K)'s 23%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.21 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İspanya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for İspanya (K) and 0.67 for Belçika (K).

What was the final score of İspanya (K) vs Belçika (K)?

İspanya (K) 2-0 Belçika (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya (K) vs Belçika (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split İspanya (K) 63%, draw 23%, Belçika (K) 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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