Portekiz (K) 3-1 Malta (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
21%
8.11
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
32%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
85%
-19.5pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
24%
+21.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
76%
-21.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.38/0.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/0.14
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
443 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
19.0 Crosses 5.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Malta (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2024 Malta (K) Malta (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz (K)
3-1
AWAY Malta (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portekiz (K) vs Malta (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz (K) beat Malta (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portekiz (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Portekiz (K) had 67% of the ball to Malta (K)'s 33%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Portekiz (K) vs Malta (K)?

Portekiz (K) 3-1 Malta (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz (K) vs Malta (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Portekiz (K) 65%, draw 21%, Malta (K) 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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