Romanya (K) 3-1 Ermenistan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 16 Jul 2024

Romanya (K)
3-1 HT 1-0
Ermenistan (K)
📅16/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
European Women's Championship Qualifiers – 2024

Romanya (K) vs Ermenistan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
85%
-11.0pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.1pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Romanya (K) v Ermenistan (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/3.03
-62% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -16%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Romanya (K) vs Ermenistan (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ermenistan (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) 0-5 HT 0-1 Romanya (K) Romanya (K) KAVŞE

Romanya (K) 3-1 Ermenistan (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya (K)
3-1
AWAY Ermenistan (K)
75% Ball Possession 25%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Romanya (K) vs Ermenistan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya (K) got the better of Ermenistan (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Romanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Romanya (K) had 75% of the ball to Ermenistan (K)'s 25%, shots finished 22-6.

What was the final score of Romanya (K) vs Ermenistan (K)?

Romanya (K) 3-1 Ermenistan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya (K) vs Ermenistan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Romanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Romanya (K) 74%, draw 15%, Ermenistan (K) 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Romanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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