Ukrayna (K) 2-0 Hırvatistan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hırvatistan (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hırvatistan (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.04.2024 Hırvatistan (K) Hırvatistan (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna (K)
2-0
AWAY Hırvatistan (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ukrayna (K) vs Hırvatistan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna (K) got the better of Hırvatistan (K) 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ukrayna (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ukrayna (K) had 61% of the ball to Hırvatistan (K)'s 39%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Ukrayna (K) vs Hırvatistan (K)?

Ukrayna (K) 2-0 Hırvatistan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna (K) vs Hırvatistan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ukrayna (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna (K) 51%, draw 28%, Hırvatistan (K) 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ukrayna (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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