Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-3 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 16 Jul 2025

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
1-3 HT 0-1
Gold Coast Knights
📅16/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast Knights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.5pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane v Gold Coast Knights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.24/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.02
+1% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.1 Crosses 20.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast Knights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
224 Passes 374
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.06.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-1 HT 2-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
04.03.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
27.08.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
24.04.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
19.09.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-2 HT 2-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
05.06.2021 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-0 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights beat Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gold Coast Knights found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane and 2.00 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast Knights?

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-3 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 37%, draw 23%, Gold Coast Knights 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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