Cuiaba 3-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.66/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.34
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
24.3 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
3-1
AWAY Amazonas
1.72 xG 0.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
227 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba got the better of Amazonas 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuiaba had 42% of the ball to Amazonas's 58%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.72 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Amazonas?

Cuiaba 3-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 49%, draw 26%, Amazonas 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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