Astana 1-4 Dinamo Tirana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tirana EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Tirana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
09.07.2026 Dinamo Tirana Dinamo Tirana 0-1 HT 0-0 Astana AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Astana
1-4
AWAY Dinamo Tirana
16 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Astana vs Dinamo Tirana
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Dinamo Tirana ran out comfortable winners over Astana 4-1 away from home in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 Jul 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 16-22.

What was the final score of Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?

Astana 1-4 Dinamo Tirana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Astana 56%, draw 22%, Dinamo Tirana 22%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Astana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Astana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul 2026
18:00 Inter Turku vs FK Sarajevo Analysis →
18:00 Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert Analysis →
19:00 Paide Linnameeskond vs Hegelmann Analysis →
19:00 Pyunik vs Marsaxlokk FC Analysis →
19:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira Analysis →
19:00 St Josephs vs Bohemians Analysis →