Ilves Tampere 3-1 Differdange 03 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Differdange 03 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +61%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Differdange 03
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.07.2026 Differdange 03 Differdange 03 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
3-1
AWAY Differdange 03
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Ilves Tampere vs Differdange 03
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ilves Tampere beat Differdange 03 3-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 Jul 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Differdange 03?

Ilves Tampere 3-1 Differdange 03 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Differdange 03?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 50%, draw 23%, Differdange 03 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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