Mes Kerman 3-0 Navad Urmia FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Jul 2026

Mes Kerman
3-0
Navad Urmia FC
📅16/07/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2025/2026

Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.95
No
66%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.22
6+ Goals
6%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 38% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
30%
+3.7pp
66%
BTTS No
70%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mes Kerman v Navad Urmia FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Navad Urmia FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.23/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.21
-22% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Kerman ran out comfortable winners over Navad Urmia FC 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mes Kerman as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia FC?

Mes Kerman 3-0 Navad Urmia FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Kerman win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 65%, draw 22%, Navad Urmia FC 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Kerman), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mes Kerman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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