4 de Mayo 2-1 Sportivo Carapegua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 16 Jul 2026

4 de Mayo
2-1
Sportivo Carapegua
📅16/07/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Paraguay - Cup – 2026

4 de Mayo vs Sportivo Carapegua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
67%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+11.3pp
17%
Draw
8%
+9.2pp
67%
Away Win
88%
-20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

4 de Mayo v Sportivo Carapegua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 4 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Carapegua EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
165 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 583 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

4 de Mayo 2-1 Sportivo Carapegua — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 4 de Mayo
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Carapegua
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH 4 de Mayo vs Sportivo Carapegua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

4 de Mayo squeezed past Sportivo Carapegua 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Sportivo Carapegua carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of 4 de Mayo vs Sportivo Carapegua?

4 de Mayo 2-1 Sportivo Carapegua in the Paraguay - Cup on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 4 de Mayo vs Sportivo Carapegua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Carapegua win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split 4 de Mayo 16%, draw 17%, Sportivo Carapegua 67%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportivo Carapegua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Carapegua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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