Tanzania Prisons 1-0 Polisi Tanzania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — TAN, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.6
Over
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tanzania Prisons The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Polisi Tanzania The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tanzania Prisons
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polisi Tanzania
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.12.2021 Polisi Tanzania 1-0 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tanzania Prisons nicked a narrow win over Polisi Tanzania 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Polisi Tanzania at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania?

Tanzania Prisons 1-0 Polisi Tanzania in the TAN on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polisi Tanzania win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tanzania Prisons 29%, draw 29%, Polisi Tanzania 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polisi Tanzania), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polisi Tanzania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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