One Knoxville 2-1 Fort Wayne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.41/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.60
-13% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.1 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
2-1
AWAY Fort Wayne
0.87 xG 1.15
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
383 Passes 225
18 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville edged past Fort Wayne 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.87 to 1.15.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?

One Knoxville 2-1 Fort Wayne in the USA - USL League 1 on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 43%, draw 25%, Fort Wayne 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ BTTS Yes
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