Xian Ronghai 0-1 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xian Ronghai EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xian Ronghai
0-1
AWAY Hainan Star
0.22 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
172 Passes 140
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
7 Box Touches 6
8 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Xian Ronghai vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star squeezed past Xian Ronghai 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Xian Ronghai at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Xian Ronghai had 57% of the ball to Hainan Star's 43%, shots finished 3-5, expected goals 0.22 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Xian Ronghai vs Hainan Star?

Xian Ronghai 0-1 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xian Ronghai vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xian Ronghai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Xian Ronghai 44%, draw 24%, Hainan Star 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xian Ronghai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xian Ronghai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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