Graffin Vlasim 1-3 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.36/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Graffin Vlasim
1-3
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Graffin Vlasim vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fastav Zlin beat Graffin Vlasim 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; FC Fastav Zlin found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Graffin Vlasim had 60% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 40%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Graffin Vlasim vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Graffin Vlasim 1-3 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - FNL on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Graffin Vlasim vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Graffin Vlasim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Graffin Vlasim 39%, draw 28%, FC Fastav Zlin 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Graffin Vlasim) ✗ Under 2.5
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