Cesena U20 2-3 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena U20
2-3
AWAY Fiorentina U20
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesena U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 squeezed past Cesena U20 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cesena U20 had 42% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 58%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Cesena U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Cesena U20 2-3 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cesena U20 34%, draw 22%, Fiorentina U20 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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