Mbabane Swallows 1-0 Ferro Beira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
28%
+12.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbabane Swallows EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Beira EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
241 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mbabane Swallows vs Ferro Beira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbabane Swallows nicked a narrow win over Ferro Beira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Mbabane Swallows found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Mbabane Swallows vs Ferro Beira?

Mbabane Swallows 1-0 Ferro Beira in the CAF Champions League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbabane Swallows vs Ferro Beira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbabane Swallows win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mbabane Swallows 40%, draw 24%, Ferro Beira 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mbabane Swallows), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mbabane Swallows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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