Municipal 3-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal got the better of Guanacasteca 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Guanacasteca?

Municipal 3-1 Guanacasteca in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Municipal 47%, draw 24%, Guanacasteca 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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