Lyngby 1-2 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.7
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
9%
8.18
X/2
15%
4.54
X/X
13%
5.11
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.48
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 53%
+16% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.34/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.16
+30% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.5 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.63 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 341
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
06.08.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 4-1 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
07.05.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 2-1 HT 2-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
10.04.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
12.03.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-3 HT 0-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
05.08.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 3-3 HT 1-3 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
1-2
AWAY Midtjylland
0.88 xG 1.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 456
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 55
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland nicked a narrow win over Lyngby 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Midtjylland found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lyngby had 40% of the ball to Midtjylland's 60%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.88 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyngby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lyngby and 1.50 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Midtjylland?

Lyngby 1-2 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 33%, draw 27%, Midtjylland 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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