Barito Putera 1-0 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Aug 2024

Barito Putera
1-0 HT 1-0
Madura United
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Barito Putera vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barito Putera v Madura United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +29%
1.32/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.95
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Barito Putera vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barito Putera
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Madura United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
271 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Madura United Madura United 4-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
14.01.2023 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
23.07.2022 Madura United Madura United 8-0 HT 4-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
09.03.2022 Madura United Madura United 3-3 HT 0-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
28.11.2021 Barito Putera Barito Putera 0-3 HT 0-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
29.02.2020 Madura United Madura United 4-0 HT 3-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1

Barito Putera 1-0 Madura United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barito Putera
1-0
AWAY Madura United
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Barito Putera vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barito Putera nicked a narrow win over Madura United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barito Putera as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barito Putera had 44% of the ball to Madura United's 56%, shots finished 5-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Barito Putera and 4.00 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Barito Putera vs Madura United?

Barito Putera 1-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barito Putera vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barito Putera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barito Putera 42%, draw 25%, Madura United 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barito Putera) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barito Putera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
16 Aug 2024
11:30 PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSM Makassar Analysis →
11:30 Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya Analysis →