Coleraine FC 4-2 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.25
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
14%
4.09
X/2
7%
8.79
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1
12%
21.45
2/2
19%
6.41
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.73/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.56
-9% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KILK
21.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.08.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.03.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.12.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC beat Ballymena United 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United?

Coleraine FC 4-2 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 48%, draw 21%, Ballymena United 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →