Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.84/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.01
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.3 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Györi ETO
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2022 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MACK
03.04.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-2 HT 1-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
03.10.2021 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-1 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
04.04.2015 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-1 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
22.10.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
13.04.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-1 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2-1
AWAY Györi ETO
1.25 xG 1.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 10
148 Passes 371
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 38
24 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE edged past Györi ETO 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kecskemeti TE as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 34% of the ball to Györi ETO's 66%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.25 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.17 for Györi ETO.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Györi ETO?

Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 48%, draw 27%, Györi ETO 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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