Universitatea Craiova 5-1 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.85/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -55%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
5-1
AWAY Buzau
4.10 xG 0.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
561 Passes 302
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
48 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova ran out comfortable winners over Buzau 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 63% of the ball to Buzau's 37%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 4.10 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Buzau?

Universitatea Craiova 5-1 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 56%, draw 23%, Buzau 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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